Nested Markov properties for acyclic directed mixed graphs

有向无环图 数学 条件独立性 马尔可夫链 因式分解 约束(计算机辅助设计) 变量(数学) 马尔可夫性质 马尔可夫模型 组合数学 算法 统计 几何学 数学分析
作者
Thomas S. Richardson,Robin J. Evans,James M. Robins,Ilya Shpitser
出处
期刊:Annals of Statistics [Institute of Mathematical Statistics]
卷期号:51 (1) 被引量:38
标识
DOI:10.1214/22-aos2253
摘要

Conditional independence models associated with directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) may be characterized in at least three different ways: via a factorization, the global Markov property (given by the d-separation criterion), and the local Markov property. Marginals of DAG models also imply equality constraints that are not conditional independences; the well-known ``Verma constraint'' is an example. Constraints of this type are used for testing edges, and in a computationally efficient marginalization scheme via variable elimination. We show that equality constraints like the ``Verma constraint'' can be viewed as conditional independences in kernel objects obtained from joint distributions via a fixing operation that generalizes conditioning and marginalization. We use these constraints to define, via ordered local and global Markov properties, and a factorization, a graphical model associated with acyclic directed mixed graphs (ADMGs). We prove that marginal distributions of DAG models lie in this model, and that a set of these constraints given by Tian provides an alternative definition of the model. Finally, we show that the fixing operation used to define the model leads to a particularly simple characterization of identifiable causal effects in hidden variable causal DAG models.

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