CT Chest Imaging Using Normalized Join-Count: Predicting Emphysema Progression in the CanCOLD Study

Background Pre-existing emphysema is recognized as an indicator of future worsening in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) when observed through CT imaging. However, it remains uncertain whether additional factors, such as the spatial compactness of CT emphysema, might also serve as predictors of disease progression. Purpose To evaluate the relationship between the compactness of CT emphysema voxels and emphysema progression. Materials and Methods This secondary analysis uses data from the prospective Canadian Cohort Obstructive Lung Disease (CanCOLD) study, examining CT images obtained in participants with and without COPD at baseline and a 3-year follow-up time point (November 2009 to November 2018). Measurements of forced expiratory volume in first second of expiration (FEV