Gene Expression Changes Associated With Recurrence After Gross Total Resection of Newly Diagnosed World Health Organization Grade 1 Meningioma

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Patients who undergo gross total resection (GTR) of Central Nervous System World Health Organization (WHO) grade 1 meningioma constitute a “low-risk” group, but some low-risk meningiomas can recur despite reassuring clinical and histological features. In this study, gene expression values in newly diagnosed WHO grade 1 meningiomas that had undergone GTR were evaluated for their association with recurrence. METHODS: This was a retrospective, international, multicenter cohort study that included WHO grade 1 meningiomas that underwent GTR, as first treatment, based on postoperative magnetic resonance imaging. Normalized gene expression values from a previously validated 34-gene panel were evaluated for their association with recurrence. Kaplan-Meier, multivariable Cox proportional hazard analyses, and K-means clustering were performed to assess the association of genes of interest with recurrence and identify molecular subgroups among clinically and histologically low-risk meningiomas. RESULTS: In total, 442 patients with WHO grade 1 meningiomas that underwent GTR and had available gene expression profiling data were included in the study. The median follow-up was 5.0 years (interquartile range 2.6-7.7 years), local recurrence occurred in 36 patients (8.1%), 5-year local freedom from recurrence was 90.5%, and median time to recurrence was 2.9 years (range 0.5-10.7 years). Eleven genes were associated with local recurrence, including lower expression of ARID1B , ESR1 , LINC02593 , PGR , and TMEM30B and higher expression of CDK6 , CDKN2C , CKS2 , KIF20A , PGK1 , and TAGLN . Of these genes, PGK1 had the largest effect size. K-means clustering based on these 11 genes distinguished 2 molecular groups of clinically and histologically low-risk meningiomas with significant differences in local freedom from recurrence (hazard ratio 2.5, 95% CI 1.2-5.1, P = .016). CONCLUSION: Gene expression profiling may help to identify newly diagnosed WHO grade 1 meningiomas that have an elevated risk of recurrence despite GTR.