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The impact of long-term PM1 exposure on all-cause mortality and its interaction with BMI: A nationwide prospective cohort study in China

医学 体重不足 人口学 体质指数 危险系数 置信区间 混淆 人口 比例危险模型 队列研究 肥胖 环境卫生 超重 外科 内科学 社会学
作者
Jie Jiang,Yongyue Wei,Ying Wang,Xiaowen Wang,Xiao Lin,Tong Guo,Xurui Sun,Zhiqiang Li,Yuqin Zhang,Gonghua Wu,Wenjing Wu,Shirui Chen,Huimin Sun,Wangjian Zhang,Yuantao Hao
出处
期刊:Science of The Total Environment [Elsevier BV]
卷期号:912: 168997-168997 被引量:6
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.168997
摘要

China has a serious air pollution problem and a high prevalence of obesity. The interaction between the two and its impact on all-cause mortality is a public health issue of great concern. This study aimed to investigate the association between long-term exposure to particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤ 1 μm (PM1) and all-cause mortality, as well as the interaction effect of body mass index (BMI) in the association. A total of 33,087 participants from 162 counties in 25 provinces in China were included, with annual average PM1 exposure being estimated based on the county address. The PM1-mortality relation was evaluated using the time-varying Cox proportional hazards models, with the dose-response relationship being fitted using the penalized splines. Besides, the potential interaction effect of BMI in the PM1-mortality relation was evaluated. The incidence of all-cause deaths was 76.99 per 10,000 person-years over a median of 8.2 years of follow-up. After controlling for potential confounders, the PM1-mortality relation was approximately J-shaped. The full-adjustment analysis observed the hazard ratio (HR) of all-cause mortality was 1.114 [95 % confidence interval (CI): 1.017–1.220] corresponding to a 10 μg/m3 rise in PM1 concentration. Further stratified analyses suggested the adverse effects of PM1 might be more pronounced among the underweight. Higher PM1 concentrations were associated with an increase in all-cause mortality. The BMI might further alter the relation, and the underweight population was the sensitive subgroup of the population that needed to be protected.
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