Telomere Length and Development of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: A Mendelian Randomization Study

Previous observational studies demonstrated that a subset of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) have markedly short telomere length in leukocytes. This study was undertaken to test whether leukocyte telomere length is causally associated with risk of SLE.A 2-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was conducted to estimate causality of telomere length on SLE in European populations. A replication 2-sample MR study using Asian genetic data was also conducted. A reverse MR analysis was then performed to test the effects of SLE on telomere length. The autoantibodies targeting telomere-associated protein (telomeric repeat-binding factor 1 [TERF1] autoantibodies) were detected in patients with SLE, healthy controls, and patients with rheumatoid arthritis.The results of the inverse variance-weighted method (odds ratio [OR] 2.96 [95% confidence interval (95% CI) 1.58-5.55], P < 0.001) showed strong evidence for a causal relationship between longer telomere length and risk of SLE in people with European ancestry. The outcomes of MR-Egger regression analysis (OR 29.46 [95% CI 3.02-287.60], P = 0.033) and MR pleiotropy residual sum and outlier analysis (OR 3.62 [95% CI 2.03-6.46], P = 0.002) also showed that longer telomere length was significantly associated with increased risk of SLE in a European population. Sensitivity analyses using different methods and summary data sets showed that the results were still broadly consistent. A replication MR study using Asian genetic data yielded similar findings. However, the reverse MR analysis showed that genetically predicted SLE was not causally associated with telomere length. In addition, we found that TERF1 autoantibodies were present in 2 of 40 SLE patients (5.0%).In contrast with previous observational studies, MR analyses show that longer telomere length is significantly associated with increased risk of SLE.