接触追踪
传输(电信)
检疫
无症状的
爆发
冠状病毒
2019年冠状病毒病(COVID-19)
医学
严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒2型(SARS-CoV-2)
流行病学
病毒释放
病毒学
大流行
感染控制
置信区间
疾病
内科学
重症监护医学
病毒
病理
传染病(医学专业)
工程类
电气工程
作者
Qiuling Shi,Yaoyue Hu,Bin Peng,Xiao-Jun Tang,Wei Wang,Kun Su,Chao Luo,Bo Wu,Fan Zhang,Yong Zhang,Benjamin D. Anderson,Xiao-Ni Zhong,Jingfu Qiu,Cheng Yong Yang,Ailong Huang
出处
期刊:Nature Medicine
[Nature Portfolio]
日期:2020-11-30
卷期号:27 (1): 86-93
被引量:74
标识
DOI:10.1038/s41591-020-01178-5
摘要
The effectiveness of control measures to contain coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Wanzhou, China was assessed. Epidemiological data were analyzed for 183 confirmed COVID-19 cases and their close contacts from five generations of transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 throughout the entire COVID-19 outbreak in Wanzhou. Approximately 67.2% and 32.8% of cases were symptomatic and asymptomatic, respectively. Asymptomatic and presymptomatic transmission accounted for 75.9% of the total recorded transmission. The reproductive number was 1.64 (95% confidence interval: 1.16–2.40) for G1-to-G2 transmission, decreasing to 0.31–0.39 in later generations, concomitant with implementation of rigorous control measures. Substantially higher infection risk was associated with contact within 5 d after the infectors had been infected, frequent contact and ≥8 h of contact duration. The spread of COVID-19 was effectively controlled in Wanzhou by breaking the transmission chain through social distancing, extensive contact tracing, mass testing and strict quarantine of close contacts. Analysis of five generations of transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 from cases to contacts identifies a high rate of symptomless transmission and risk factors associated with spread of COVID-19.
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