Spatiotemporal evolution and multi-scale coupling effects of land-use carbon emissions and ecological environmental quality

The coupling relationship between land-use carbon emissions (LCE) and ecological environmental quality (EEQ) is critical for regional sustainable development. Rapid urbanization promotes a notable increase in LCE, which imparts significant stress on EEQ. This study used land use and cover change (LUCC) and Open-Data Inventory for Anthropogenic Carbon dioxide (ODIAC) data from the urban agglomeration in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River (UAMRYR) to evaluate LCE, applied a remote sensing ecological index (RSEI) model to calculate EEQ, and combined gravity and centroid movement trajectory models to analyze the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of LCE and EEQ. Four-quadrant and coupling degree (CD) models were used to analyze the synergistic relationship and interaction intensity between LCE and EEQ based on three different scales of pixels, counties, and cities. The results show that: (1) LCE and EEQ exhibit clear spatial inequality distribution, and the total amount of LCE increased from 40.16 Mt. in 2000 to 131.99 Mt. in 2020; however, LCE has not yet reached peak carbon emissions. (2) From 2000 to 2020, cities with a strong correlation between LCE and EEQ showed an increasing trend, and the centroid of LCE moved sharply to Jiangxi during 2000–2005 and 2005–2010. (3) High-CD areas were primarily located in quadrant II, and low-CD areas in quadrant IV. The relationship between LCE and EEQ has improved over the past 21 years, and CD has been increasing. (4) The stability of the coupling results between LCE and EEQ was affected by different research scales; the larger the research scale is, the greater the change in the results. This study provides a scientific basis and practical scheme for LCE reduction, ecological environmental management, and regional sustainable development in the UAMRYR.