Towards quantitative evaluation of crystal structure prediction performance

Crystal structure prediction (CSP) is now increasingly used in the discovery of novel materials with applications in diverse industries. However, despite decades of developments, the problem is far from being solved. With the progress of deep learning, search algorithms, and surrogate energy models, there is a great opportunity for breakthroughs in this area. However, the evaluation of CSP algorithms primarily relies on manual structural and formation energy comparisons. The lack of a set of well-defined quantitative performance metrics for CSP algorithms makes it difficult to evaluate the status of the field and identify the strengths and weaknesses of different CSP algorithms. Here, we analyze the quality evaluation issue in CSP and propose a set of quantitative structure similarity metrics, which when combined can be used to automatically determine the quality of the predicted crystal structures compared to the ground states. Our CSP performance metrics can then be utilized to evaluate the large set of existing and emerging CSP algorithms, thereby alleviating the burden of manual inspection on a case-by-case basis. The related open-source code can be accessed freely at https://github.com/usccolumbia/CSPBenchMetrics.