An evaluation of 20-year survival of radiofrequency ablation for hepatocellular carcinoma as first-line treatment

To evaluate the changes in clinical characteristics, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS) by investigating a 20-year cohort of patients with HCC who underwent RFA treatment.From 2000 to 2020, 505 consecutive patients with HCC underwent ultrasound-guided percutaneous RFA as first-line therapy at a tertiary cancer hospital. We divided the cohort according to the time when hepatitis-B antiviral therapy was covered by national medical insurance coverage (early 2011), including the first decade (2000-2010) and second decade (2011-2020). The prognostic factors for OS were analyzed by the Cox proportional hazard model. OS and PFS in different groups were compared using the Kaplan-Meier method. To reduce selection bias, matched groups of patients were selected using the propensity score matching (PSM) method.In total, 726 RFA sessions were performed to treat 867 HCC lesions. Patients treated in the second decade were younger (p =.047), had smaller tumors (p <.001), had lower Child-Pugh scores (p <.001), and had a higher proportion of antiviral treatment (p <.001). A total of 96.0% of patients achieved technical efficacy from the initial RFA. After PSM analysis, improved PFS was found for the second decade (median, 68 vs. 49 months, p =.003), but no significant difference in OS was observed between the two groups (median, 71 vs. 65 months, p =.20).This study demonstrated that improved PFS was achieved in patients with HCC receiving RFA as first-line treatment in the second decade. However, long-term OS was not significantly increased compared to the first decade suggesting that while RFA treatment has improved, it still might not substantially affect OS results.