Agricultural Green Total Factor Productivity under the Distortion of the Factor Market in China

The scientific and reasonable measurement of agricultural green total factor productivity is helpful to grasp the direction of rural-factor-market reform. This study constructs a Malmquist productivity index based on a non-radial and non-angular SBM directional distance function. This study calculates the agricultural green total factor productivity of 28 provinces (cities and autonomous regions) in China from 1997 to 2020 by considering unexpected outputs such as carbon emissions and agricultural non-point-source pollution. Finally, this study uses the spatial Dobbin model to explore the spatial impact of agricultural green total factor productivity under the distortion of the factor market. The results show that the agricultural green total factor productivity, considering the unexpected outputs, is more in line with the level of high-quality green development in China’s agriculture. Regardless of whether the unexpected output is included, the increase in China’s agricultural total factor productivity is primarily due to progress in agricultural technology, and the double boost is little in agricultural technology progress and technical efficiency. Agricultural green total factor productivity shows an increasing trend, but the growth rate is slow, and differences in different regions are significant. Factor market distortion negatively impacts agricultural green total factor productivity, and other factors improve the agricultural total green factor productivity. However, factor market distortion has a particular spatial spillover effect, which hinders the synchronous growth of agricultural green total factor productivity in different regions. Therefore, the government should promote the reform of the agricultural mode of production and agricultural green production, eliminate the blocking effect of factor market distortion on the improvement in agricultural green total factor productivity, narrow the regional gap of agricultural total factor productivity, and establish a policy system for high-quality green development of modern agriculture.