Acoustic emission-based remaining useful life prognosis of aeronautical structures subjected to compressive fatigue loading

An increasing interest for Structural Health Monitoring has emerged in the last decades. Acoustic emission (AE) is one of the most popular and widely studied methodologies employed for monitoring, due to its capabilities of detecting, locating and capturing the evolution of damage. Most literature so far, has employed AE for characterizing damage mechanisms and monitoring propagation, while only a few employ it for real time monitoring and even fewer for Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prognosis. In the present work, we demonstrate a methodology for leveraging AE recordings for prognostics of composite aerospace structures. Single stiffened CFRP panels are subjected to a variety of compressive fatigue loadings, while AE sensors monitor the panels’ degradation in real time. Several AE features, both from the time and frequency domains, are utilized to identify features capable of capturing the degradation and used as Health Indicators for RUL prognosis. The choice of Health Indicators is predominantly made based on three prognostic attributes, i.e. monotonicity, trend and prognosability, which can overall affect the prognostic performance. RUL prediction of the panels is performed by employing two prominent machine learning algorithms, i.e. Gaussian Process Regression and Artificial Neural Networks. It is evidenced that the proposed AE-based methodology is highly capable to be utilized for RUL prediction of composite structures under variable loading conditions.