Mean arterial pressure/norepinephrine equivalent dose index as an early measure for mortality risk in patients with shock on vasopressors

平均动脉压 医学 索引(排版) 逻辑回归 比例危险模型 多元统计 休克(循环) 内科学 接收机工作特性 心脏病学 统计 血压 数学 心率 计算机科学 万维网
作者
Jie Yang,Zhengyuan Xia,Ruoran Wang,Yan Kang,Xiaofeng Ou,Bo Wang
出处
期刊:Shock [Lippincott Williams & Wilkins]
标识
DOI:10.1097/shk.0000000000002298
摘要

We aimed to investigate the association between the early mean arterial pressure (MAP)/norepinephrine equivalent dose (NEQ) index and mortality risk in patients with shock on vasopressors, and further identify the breakpoint value of the MAP/NEQ index for high mortality risk.Based on the MIMIC-IV database, we conducted a retrospective cohort study involving 19,539 eligible ICU records assigned to 3 groups (1st tertile, 2nd tertile, and 3rd tertile) by different MAP/NEQ indexes within 24 h of ICU admission. The study outcomes were 7-day, 14-day, 21-day, and 28-day mortality. A Cox model was used to examine the risk of mortality following different MAP/NEQ indexes. The receiving operating characteristic curve (ROC) was used to evaluate the predictive ability of the MAP/NEQ index. The restricted cubic spline was applied to fit the flexible correlation between the MAP/NEQ index and risk of mortality, and segmented regression was further used to identify the breakpoint value of the MAP/NEQ index for high mortality risk.Multivariate Cox analysis showed that a high MAP/NEQ index was independently associated with decreased mortality risks. The areas under the ROC curve of the MAP/NEQ index for different mortality outcomes were nearly 0.7. The MAP/NEQ index showed an L-shaped association with mortality outcomes or mortality risks. Exploration of the breakpoint value of the MAP/NEQ index suggested that a MAP/NEQ index less than 183 might be associated with a significantly increased mortality risk.An early low MAP/NEQ index was indicative of poor prognosis in patients with shock on vasopressors.
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