贝叶斯因子
统计假设检验
无效假设
贝叶斯定理
贝叶斯概率
计量经济学
空(SQL)
贝叶斯统计
计算机科学
替代假设
统计
贝叶斯推理
心理学
机器学习
数据挖掘
人工智能
数学
作者
Jorge N. Tendeiro,Henk A. L. Kiers
出处
期刊:Psychological Methods
[American Psychological Association]
日期:2019-05-16
卷期号:24 (6): 774-795
被引量:99
摘要
Null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) has been under scrutiny for decades. The literature shows overwhelming evidence of a large range of problems affecting NHST. One of the proposed alternatives to NHST is using Bayes factors instead of p values. Here we denote the method of using Bayes factors to test point null models as "null hypothesis Bayesian testing" (NHBT). In this article we offer a wide overview of potential issues (limitations or sources of misinterpretation) with NHBT which is currently missing in the literature. We illustrate many of the shortcomings of NHBT by means of reproducible examples. The article concludes with a discussion of NHBT in particular and testing in general. In particular, we argue that posterior model probabilities should be given more emphasis than Bayes factors, because only the former provide direct answers to the most common research questions under consideration. (PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2019 APA, all rights reserved).
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