数学
拟合优度
布朗桥
对数
重对数律
置信区间
经验分布函数
置信度和预测带
统计
应用数学
布朗运动
统计物理学
数学分析
物理
作者
Lutz Dümbgen,Jon A. Wellner
摘要
We introduce new goodness-of-fit tests and corresponding confidence bands for distribution functions. They are inspired by multiscale methods of testing and based on refined laws of the iterated logarithm for the normalized uniform empirical process Un(t)/ t(1−t) and its natural limiting process, the normalized Brownian bridge process U(t)/ t(1−t). The new tests and confidence bands refine the procedures of Berk and Jones (1979) and Owen (1995). Roughly speaking, the high power and accuracy of the latter methods in the tail regions of distributions are essentially preserved while gaining considerably in the central region. The goodness-of-fit tests perform well in signal detection problems involving sparsity, as in Ingster (1997), Donoho and Jin (2004) and Jager and Wellner (2007), but also under contiguous alternatives. Our analysis of the confidence bands sheds new light on the influence of the underlying ϕ-divergences.
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