Impacts of land cover changes on biogenic emission and its contribution to ozone and secondary organic aerosol in China

Abstract. The greening impacts on China from 2000 to 2017 led to an increase in vegetated areas and thus enhanced biogenic volatile organic compound (BVOC) emissions. BVOCs are regarded as important precursors for ozone (O3) and secondary organic aerosol (SOA). As a result, accurate estimation of BVOC emissions is critical to understand their impacts on air quality. In this study, the Model of Emissions of Gases and Aerosols from Nature (MEGAN) v2.1 was used to investigate the impact of different leaf area index (LAI) and land cover (LC) datasets on BVOC emissions in China in 2016, and the effects on O3 and SOA were evaluated based on the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system. Three LAI satellite datasets of the Global LAnd Surface Satellite (GLASS), the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) MOD15A2H version 6 (MOD15), and the Copernicus Global Land Service (CGLS), as well as three LC satellite datasets of the MODIS MCD12Q1 LC products, the Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) LC products, and the CGLS LC products, were used in five parallel experiments (cases: C1–C5). Results show that changing LAI and LC datasets of the model input has an impact on BVOC estimations. BVOC emissions in China ranged from 25.42 to 37.39 Tg in 2016 and were mainly concentrated in central and southeastern China. Changing the LC inputs for the MEGAN model has a more significant difference in BVOC estimates than using different LAI datasets. The combination of C3S LC and GLASS LAI performs better in the CMAQ model, indicating that it is the better choice for BVOC estimations in China. The highest contribution of BVOCs to O3 and SOA can reach 12 ppb and 9.8 µg m−3, respectively. Changing the MEGAN inputs further impacts the concentrations of O3 and SOA, especially changing LC datasets. The relative difference between MCD12Q1 LC and C3S LC is over 52 % and 140 % in O3 and biogenic SOA (BSOA) in central and eastern China. The BSOA difference is mainly attributed to the isoprene SOA (ISOA), a major contributor to BSOA. The relative differences in ISOA between different cases are up to 160 % in eastern China. Therefore, our results suggest that the uncertainties in MEGAN inputs should be fully considered in future O3 and SOA simulations.