Determining the spatial non-stationarity underlying social and natural environment in thyroid cancer in China

普通最小二乘法 城市化 空气污染 地理 中国 回归分析 人口 驱动因素 计量经济学 回归 空间异质性 自然地理学 统计 人口学 数学 生态学 生物 社会学 考古
作者
Xiyu Zhang,Yongqiang Lai,Xiaodan Bai,Bing Wu,Wenjing Xiang,Chenxi Zhang,Guihong Geng,Wenqing Miao,Xia Qi,Qunhong Wu,Hui Ying Yang,Yanjie Wang,Wanxin Tian,Yuliang Cao,Xinwei Liu,Hongyu Li,Yulu Tian,Zhe Song,Ziwen Zhao,Zhipeng Huang,Xiaonan Cheng,Xinhao Han,Ye Li,Baoguo Shi
出处
期刊:Science of The Total Environment [Elsevier BV]
卷期号:870: 162009-162009 被引量:1
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.162009
摘要

Light at night (LAN) is a physiological environmental factor related to thyroid cancer (TC). The spatial relationship between the number of TC incident cases, LAN, air pollution and other macro social factors and stationarity needs to be further examined to provide evidence for regional control of TC.Spatial econometrics methods for spatial nonstationarity were used to explore the impacts of LAN, air pollutants, economic factors, and population size on the number of TC incident cases in 182 Chinese prefecture-level cities and the local coefficients were further tested for nonstationarity. Temporally weighted regression (TWR), geographically weighted regression (GWR), and geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) were compared in this study for model selection.Based on the ordinary least squares (OLS), LAN, air pollutants, and urbanization all significantly affected the number of TC incident cases. GWR had the best goodness of fit, and the coefficients of all the variables passed the nonstationarity test. The strong positive impact of LAN was mainly concentrated in North China, air pollutants in Central China and neighboring regions, and urbanization in the eastern coast of China.The locational factors of the prefecture-level city influence the spatial pattern of the number of TC incident cases. Governments should pay attention to this influence, adhere to the Health in All Policies principle, and formulate region-specific policies based on regional characteristics, which this study provides updated evidence for.
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