乐观 主义
乐观主义偏见
项目评估
成本超支
风险分析(工程)
成本估算
成本工程
业务
经济
工程类
财务
心理学
建筑工程
管理
社会心理学
建筑业
作者
Y.-W. Chen,Dominic D. Ahiaga-Dagbui,Muhammad Jamaluddin Thaheem,Asheem Shrestha
标识
DOI:10.1177/87569728231180268
摘要
There is a growing face-value acceptance of optimism bias as the primary cause of transport cost overruns. This article provides a timely review of literature on optimism bias and transport infrastructure project cost overruns. The article identifies significant gaps and unanswered questions about the relationship between optimism bias in project cost appraisal and cases of transport infrastructure cost overruns. The presence and nature of optimism bias in the complex institutional environment of project cost appraisal are largely understudied and not well understood. Consequently, this has significant implications for the development of effective mitigation strategies for improving transport project cost performance.
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