Radiological predictors of final infarct volume in patients with proximal vascular occlusion

Various clinical and radiologic variables impact the neurologic prognosis of patients with ischemic cerebrovascular accidents. About 30% of ischemic cerebrovascular accidents are caused by proximal obstruction of the anterior circulation; in these cases, systemic thrombolysis is of limited usefulness. CT angiography is indicated in candidates for endovascular treatment. Various radiologic factors, including the grade of leptomeningeal collateral circulation, as well as the length, density, and extension of the thrombus, have been identified as predictors of neurologic prognosis after anterior ischemic cerebrovascular accidents due to proximal vascular obstruction. Final infarct volume correlations with mortality and long-term functional outcome in these patients. This study aimed to determine the best predictors of final infarct volume on CT angiography in patients with ischemic cerebral accidents due to proximal occlusion.This retrospective observational study included adults with ischemic cerebrovascular accidents due to obstruction of the anterior circulation diagnosed by CT angiography in the period comprising June 2009 through December 2019. We measured the length and density of the thrombus in unenhanced CT images, and we used the clot burden score to record the grade of leptomeningeal collateral circulation and the extension of the thrombus. Then we measured the final infarct volume on follow-up CT and analyzed the correlations among these radiologic factors in the infarct volume.We included 54 patients [mean age, 82 y; 41 (75%) women] with ischemic cerebrovascular accidents due to proximal occlusion. About 60% of the cerebrovascular accidents affected the right cerebral hemisphere, and the most commonly affected vessel was the M1 segment of the medial cerebral artery (40.7%). Final infarct volume correlated with the grade of leptomeningeal collateral circulation (p=0.03) and with the clot burden score (p=0.01). Neither the length nor the density of the thrombus correlated with final infarct volume.The final infarct volume can be estimated on the initial CT angiogram. Nevertheless, we found no useful predictive factors in unenhanced CT images. The best independent radiologic predictors of the final infarct volume are the grade of collateral circulation and the clot burden score, especially in patients who did not undergo mechanical thrombectomy, because mechanical thrombectomy improves outcomes. These factors are important for decision making in the management of patients with ischemic cerebrovascular accidents due to proximal occlusion.