Ten-year prognosis of acute atrial fibrillation in ST-elevation myocardial infarction: recurrence and risk stroke

Abstract Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) often complicates ST elevation acute myocardial infarction (STEMI), with associated risks including stroke and mortality. Anticoagulation therapy for these patients and AF prognosis remains controversial. The aim was to evaluate long-term prognosis of STEMI patients complicated with AF in the acute phase. Methods We performed a retrospective analysis on a prospective register involving 4,184 patients admitted for STEMI to the intensive cardiac care unit of 2 tertiary centres from 2007 to 2015. Patients with pre-existing permanent AF were excluded. Out of these, 269 (6.4%) patients developed AF within the first 48 hours after STEMI and were matched with a control group based on age and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). Results After matching, a total of 470 patients were included (n=235, AF-STEMI; n=235, control group). Mean age 69.0 years, and 31.7% women. No differences were found in gender, cardiovascular risk factors or ischemic heart disease. AF-STEMI patients experienced more sustained ventricular tachycardia, advanced atrioventricular block, heart failure, and cardiogenic shock. In-hospital mortality was also higher in AF-STEMI patients (11.9% vs 7.2%, p=0.008). After 10-years follow-up, the AF-STEMI group had remained with higher mortality (50.5% vs. 36.2%; p=0.003) and a greater recurrence of AF (44.2% vs. 14.7%; p<0.001), without differences in stroke incidence (10.1% vs. 9.3%). Conclusions As a conclusion, patients with AF complicating STEMI have higher rates of heart failure, cardiogenic shock, and in-hospital mortality. After a 10-year follow-up, they exhibit a high risk of AF recurrence and mortality, with no significant differences in stroke incidence.