估计员
计算机科学
逻辑回归
算法
统计
估计
数学
机器学习
经济
管理
作者
Rui Duan,Mary Regina Boland,Zixuan Liu,Yue Liu,Howard H. Chang,Hua Xu,Haitao Chu,Christopher H. Schmid,Christopher B. Forrest,John H. Holmes,Martijn J. Schuemie,Jesse A. Berlin,Jason H. Moore,Yong Chen
摘要
Abstract Objectives We propose a one-shot, privacy-preserving distributed algorithm to perform logistic regression (ODAL) across multiple clinical sites. Materials and Methods ODAL effectively utilizes the information from the local site (where the patient-level data are accessible) and incorporates the first-order (ODAL1) and second-order (ODAL2) gradients of the likelihood function from other sites to construct an estimator without requiring iterative communication across sites or transferring patient-level data. We evaluated ODAL via extensive simulation studies and an application to a dataset from the University of Pennsylvania Health System. The estimation accuracy was evaluated by comparing it with the estimator based on the combined individual participant data or pooled data (ie, gold standard). Results Our simulation studies revealed that the relative estimation bias of ODAL1 compared with the pooled estimates was <3%, and the ratio of standard errors was <1.25 for all scenarios. ODAL2 achieved higher accuracy (with relative bias <0.1% and ratio of standard errors <1.05). In real data analysis, we investigated the associations of 100 medications with fetal loss during pregnancy. We found that ODAL1 provided estimates with relative bias <10% for 85% of medications, and ODAL2 has relative bias <10% for 99% of medications. For communication cost, ODAL1 requires transferring p numbers from each site to the local site and ODAL2 requires transferring (p×p+p) numbers from each site to the local site, where p is the number of parameters in the regression model. Conclusions This study demonstrates that ODAL is privacy-preserving and communication-efficient with small bias and high statistical efficiency.
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