动量(技术分析)
集合(抽象数据类型)
水准点(测量)
实证研究
心理学
计量经济学
经济
计算机科学
数学
统计
金融经济学
地理
大地测量学
程序设计语言
作者
Craig A. Depken,John M. Gandar,Dmitry Shapiro
标识
DOI:10.1177/15270025221085715
摘要
We provide a theoretical and empirical analysis of strategic momentum and psychological momentum in best-of-three contests between players with unequal skills. As a theoretical benchmark, we develop a fully rational model of best-of-three contests and define psychological momentum as systematic deviation from the theoretical equilibrium. An empirical analysis of 66,262 professional tennis matches from 2002 to 2020 shows that our theoretical model closely matches first set outcomes, which is when set-level psychological momentum is absent. Overall, the empirical results show that both strategic momentum and psychological momentum contribute to the outcomes of best-of-three tennis contests.
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