Determining fire frequency and its relationship with rangeland aboveground grass biomass using MODIS and Landsat imagery

High frequency burned area (BA) images provide an opportunity to monitor rangeland fire frequency (FF). This study related grass aboveground biomass (AGB) to FF in a 4800 ha biodiversity conservation savannah-grassland rangeland. Archived (2000–2021), 500 m resolution MODIS burned area monthly images were used. Following Boolean coding (fire event pixel = 1, no-fire pixel = 0), addition GIS overlay analysis yielded total fires per pixel location. Fire detection accuracy was assessed using 2018–2021 management fire event records. Sample grass AGB data were obtained at the end of the 2020 and 2021 growing seasons from widely dispersed sampling sites with wide grass cover uniformity, where a 1 m quadrat was tossed randomly in a 20 m × 20 m plot up to three times. The quadrat-enclosed grass was harvested to soil level, air-dried, and weighed to generate site average AGB values, which were correlated with vegetation index (VI) values from sampling near-concurrent surface reflectance (L2SP) Landsat-8 OLI images. Four biomass-sensitive VIs utilising Landsat sensor spectral ranges were tested. The Enhanced Vegetation Index (EVI) yielded the strongest relationship (r = 0.410, p < 0.01). A linear model predicting grass AGB from EVI values was developed using 58% of sample data for training (R2 = 0.3062, p < 0.01) and 42% for validation (R2 = 0.5225, p < 0.001). Using the model, sampling site historical grass AGB values were predicted on same season, L2SP Landsat (TM, ETM+, OLI) images from 2000, 2002, 2006, 2009, 2013 and 2016, whose dates were selected by comparing rainfall. The MODIS images detected 73% of fires larger than 25 ha (one pixel). Most sites experienced long-term AGB gains, at faster rates in high FF (4–5 fires), low grazing sites. Most fires occurred as ecologically undesired late burns, indicating the utility of archived high-frequency BA images for rangeland management.