Exposure to high levels of PFAS through drinking water is associated with increased risk of type 2 diabetes—findings from a register-based study in Ronneby, Sweden

Epidemiological studies linking type 2 diabetes (T2D) and exposure to per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS), are limited and have yielded conflicting results. This register-based study aimed to investigate the risk of T2D among Swedish adults who had been exposed to PFAS from highly contaminated drinking water for decades.The study included 55,032 adults (aged ≥18 years) from the Ronneby Register Cohort, who ever lived in Ronneby during 1985-2013. Exposure was assessed using the yearly residential address and the absence ("never-high") or presence ("ever-high") of high PFAS contamination in the municipal drinking water supply; the latter was subdivided into "early-high" and "late-high" exposure with cut-off at 2005. Incident T2D cases were retrieved from the National Patient Register and the Prescription Register. Cox proportional hazard models with time-varying exposure were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs). Stratified analyses were performed based on age (18-45 vs > 45).Elevated HRs for T2D were observed when comparing "ever-high" to "never-high" exposure (HR 1.18, 95% CI 1.03-1.35), as well as when comparing "early-high" (HR 1.12, 95% CI 0.98-1.50) or "late-high" (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.00-1.37) to "never-high", after adjusting for age and sex. Individuals aged 18-45 years had even higher HRs. Adjusting for the highest-achieved education level attenuated the estimates, but the directions of associations remained. Elevated HRs were also found among those who had lived in areas with a heavily contaminated water supply for 1-5 years (HR 1.26, 95% CI 0.97-1.63) and 6-10 years (HR 1.25, 95% CI 0.80-1.94).This study suggests an increased risk of T2D after long-term high PFAS exposure through drinking water. In particular, a higher risk of early onset diabetes was found, indicating increased susceptibility to PFAS-related health effects at younger ages.