程式化事实
数字加密货币
波动性聚类
波动性(金融)
波动性风险
经济
计量经济学
金融经济学
可预测性
隐含波动率
波动率互换
ARCH模型
计算机科学
宏观经济学
数学
统计
计算机安全
作者
Rasa Bruzgė,Jurgita Černevičienė,Alfreda Šapkauskienė,Aida Mačerinskienė,Saulius Masteika,Kęstutis Driaunys
标识
DOI:10.3846/jbem.2023.19118
摘要
This study explores the stylized facts, volatility clustering, other highly irregular behaviour, and risk measures of cryptocurrencies’ returns. By analysing bitcoin, ripple, and ethereum daily data we establish evidence of strong dependencies among analysed cryptocurrencies. This paper provides new insights about cryptocurrency behaviour and the main measures of risk and detailed comparative analysis with tech-stocks. Comprehensive research on stylized facts confirmed high risk for both cryptocurrencies and tech-stocks with cryptocurrencies being even riskier. Empirical research findings are useful in developing dependence and risk strategies for investment and hedging purposes, especially during more volatile periods in the markets as there was confirmed existence of volatility clusters when high volatility periods are followed by low volatility periods. Sensitivity analysis and measures of Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) show the amount of losses investors can expect in the worst case scenario. Our results confirm the existence of predictability, volatility clustering, and possibilities for arbitrage opportunities. Findings could be beneficial for investors and policymakers as well as for scientific purposes as findings give us a better understanding of the behaviour of cryptocurrencies.
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