Predictability of the virtual surgical plan for orthognathic surgery with the mandible surgery first sequence

The aim of this study was to compare the virtually planned position to the postoperative position of the maxilla, having performed the maxilla-first sequence or mandible-first sequence orthognathic surgery. An audit of 64 patients who underwent bimaxillary surgery between 2017 and 2020 was performed. Thirty patients had maxilla-first surgery and 34 had mandible-first surgery. The planned and post-surgical positions were analyzed using specific skeletal landmarks. Differences were calculated and the two-sample t-test was used to compare the groups. Measured differences between the planned and postoperative results differed significantly between the mandible-first and maxillary-first surgery groups (P < 0.001). The maxillary central incisors were under-advanced in the anterior–posterior direction in both groups. Most data points showed deviation from the surgical plan ≤ 2 mm and ≤ 4°. Secondarily, maxillary under-advancement in the mandible-first cohort was evaluated; these patients were subdivided into rigid and non-rigid fixation groups. The non-rigid fixation group showed less accuracy compared to the rigid fixation group, which was statistically significant (P = 0.014). The findings of this study demonstrate that virtual surgical planning can be less accurate in predicting the maxillary incisor position when performing mandible-first surgery, but this inaccuracy is within the acceptable range and can be mitigated by rigid fixation of the mandible.