Predictors of Chronic Pain in Elderly Patients Undergoing Total Knee and Hip Arthroplasty: A Prospective Observational Study

Chronic postsurgical pain (CPSP) after total knee arthroplasty and total hip arthroplasty (TKA and THA) is an important clinical problem in which many factors play a role. The risk factors for CPSP in elderly individuals are currently unknown. Therefore, our aim was to predict the risk factors for CPSP after TKA and THA and to provide help regarding early screening and interventions for elderly individuals at risk.In this prospective observational study, we collected and analyzed 177 TKA patients and 80 THA patients. Based on pain results at the 3-month follow-up, they were divided into the no chronic postsurgical pain and CPSP groups, respectively. The preoperative baseline conditions, including pain intensity (Numerical Rating Scale) and sleep quality (Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index), as well as intraoperative and postoperative factors, were compared. Factors with P < .05 were included in binary regression analyses to establish prediction models for CPSP after TKA and THA.The prevalence of CPSP was 20.9% after TKA and 7.5% after THA. The preoperative sleep disorders were an independent risk factor of CPSP after TKA, but no risk factors of CPSP after THA were identified.This study indicated that the prevalence of CPSP after TKA was significantly higher than after THA, and that preoperative sleep disorders were an independent risk factor for CPSP after TKA, which may aid clinicians in screening people at risk for CPSP for primary prevention.