频数推理
基准标记
基准推理
贝叶斯概率
贝叶斯推理
频发概率
贝叶斯平均
推论
数学
贝叶斯统计
贝叶斯线性回归
贝叶斯因子
统计
后验概率
统计推断
计量经济学
计算机科学
人工智能
标识
DOI:10.1080/03610926.2017.1348522
摘要
Just as frequentist hypothesis tests have been developed to check model assumptions, prior predictive p-values and other Bayesian p-values check prior distributions as well as other model assumptions. These model checks not only suffer from the usual threshold dependence of p-values, but also from the suppression of model uncertainty in subsequent inference. One solution is to transform Bayesian and frequentist p-values for model assessment into a fiducial distribution across the models. Averaging the Bayesian or frequentist posterior distributions with respect to the fiducial distribution can reproduce results from Bayesian model averaging or classical fiducial inference.
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