Translational Pharmacokinetic-Toxicodynamic Model of Myelosuppression for Dose Optimization in Combination Chemotherapy of Capecitabine and Oxaliplatin from Rats to Humans

XELOX therapy, which comprises capecitabine and oxaliplatin, is the standard first-line chemotherapeutic regimen for colorectal cancer. However, its myelosuppressive effects pose challenges for its clinical management. Mathematical modeling combining pharmacokinetics (PK) and toxicodynamics (TD) is a promising approach for optimizing dosing strategies and reducing toxicity. This study aimed to develop a translational PK-TD model using rat data to inform dosing strategies and TD implications in humans. The rats were administered capecitabine, oxaliplatin, or XELOX combination regimen, and PK and TD data were collected. PK parameters were analyzed using sequential compartment analysis, whereas TD responses were assessed using Friberg's semiphysiological model. A toxicity intensity-based nomogram recommends optimal dosing strategies. Translational modeling techniques using the hybrid PK-TD model were employed to predict clinical responses. The PK-TD model successfully predicted the time-course profiles of hematological responses in rats following monotherapy and XELOX combination treatment. Interactive effects on lymphocytopenia were identified with the coadministration of capecitabine and oxaliplatin. A model-based recommended combination of the dose reduction rate for escaping severe lymphocytopenia was proposed as 40% and 60% doses of capecitabine and oxaliplatin, respectively. The current translational model techniques successfully simulated the time-course profiles of blood cell counts with confidence intervals in patients using rat data. Our study provides valuable insights into dose optimization strategies for each individual drug within the XELOX regimen and underscores the potential of translational modeling to improve patient outcomes. In addition to dose determination, these data will lay the groundwork for advancing drug development processes in oncology. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: This study introduced a novel translational modeling approach rooted in a rat PK-TD model to optimize dosing strategies for the XELOX regimen for colorectal cancer treatment. Our findings highlight the interactive effects on lymphocytopenia and suggest a toxicity intensity-based nomogram for dose reduction, thus advancing precision medicine. This translational modeling paradigm enhances our understanding of drug interactions, offering a tool to tailor dosing, minimize hematological toxicity, and improve therapeutic outcomes in patients undergoing XELOX therapy.