Predictive factors of survival in patients with borderline resectable pancreatic cancer who received neoadjuvant therapy

This study aimed to develop the prognostic score (PS) based on clinical factors to stratify the prognosis in borderline resectable pancreatic cancer (BRPC) patients treated with neoadjuvant therapy (NAT).This retrospective study included 57 BRPC patients who received NAT between April 2012 and December 2017. A score was assigned to each prognostic factor available before and after NAT, according to their β coefficients.Multivariate analysis identified the following six prognostic factors, and scores were assigned as follows: being a familial PC patient (HR 4.98, p = 0.029), post-NAT CA19-9 ≥37 U/ml (HR 3.08, p = 0.020), reduction rate of CA19-9 <70% (HR 3.71, p = 0.008), pre-NAT neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio ≥2.8 (HR 4.32, p = 0.003), and non-resection (HR 3.98, p = 0.009) were scored as 1; and post-NAT albumin-to-globulin ratio <1.33 (HR 8.31, p < 0.001) was scored as 2. The PS was calculated by summing the scores assigned to each prognostic factor. Patients were then classified into three risk groups (low- [0-1 points], moderate- [2-3 points], and high-risk [4-6 points] groups). Median overall survival in the low-, moderate-, and high-risk groups were not reached, 37.5 months, and 11.8 months, respectively, and there were significant differences in survival among the three groups (p < 0.01 in each group).This study showed that the PS may be useful for predicting the prognosis of BRPC patients treated with NAT.