Mortality trends and disease burdens of cervical, endometrial and ovarian cancers from 1981 to 2020 in Taiwan

Cervical, endometrial, and ovarian cancers are major gynecologic cancers in Taiwan. Although cervical cancer has received attention through nationwide screening program and the rollout of the human papillomavirus vaccine, endometrial and ovarian cancers have attracted less attention. The age-period-cohort analysis of constant-relative-variation method was used to estimate the mortality trends of cervical, endometrial, and ovarian cancers for population aged 30-84 years during 1981-2020 in Taiwan. The years of life lost was used to estimate the disease burden due to premature death from gynecological cancers. The age effect of endometrial cancer mortality was greater than those of cervical and ovarian cancers. The period effects decreased during 1996-2000 for cervical cancer and plateaued for endometrial and ovarian cancers during 2006-2020. The cohort effect decreased after the birth year 1911 for cervical cancer, increased after 1931 for endometrial cancer, and increased in all birth years for ovarian cancer. For both endometrial and ovarian cancers, the Spearman's correlation coefficients revealed the strong negative correlations between the fertility and the cohort effects, and the strong positive correlations between the average age at first childbirth and the cohort effects. The burden of premature death from ovarian cancer was higher than those of cervical and endometrial cancers during 2016-2020. Due to increasing cohort effect and burden of premature death, endometrial and ovarian cancers will become the largest threat to women's reproductive health in Taiwan.