Techno-economic analysis of advanced small modular nuclear reactors

按来源划分的电力成本 环境科学 资本成本 核工程 工程类 发电 功率(物理) 物理 量子力学 电气工程
作者
Anthony Asuega,Braden J. Limb,Jason C. Quinn
出处
期刊:Applied Energy [Elsevier]
卷期号:334: 120669-120669 被引量:14
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.120669
摘要

Small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs) represent a robust opportunity to develop low-carbon and reliable power with the potential to meet cost parity with conventional power systems. This study presents a detailed, bottom-up economic evaluation of a 12 × 77 MWe (924 MWe total) light-water SMR (LW-SMR) plant, a 4 × 262 MWe (1,048 MWe) gas-cooled SMR (GC-SMR) plant, and a 5 × 200 MWe (1,000 MWe total) molten salt SMR (MS-SMR) plant. Cost estimates are derived from equipment costs, labor hours, material inputs, and process-engineering models. The advanced SMRs are compared to natural gas combined cycle plants with and without post-combustion carbon capture and a conventional large nuclear reactor. Overnight capital cost (OCC) and levelized cost of energy (LCOE) estimates are developed. The OCC of the LW-SMR, GC-SMR, and MS-SMR are found to be $4,844/kW, $4,355/kW, and $3,985/kW respectively. The LCOE of the LW-SMR, GC-SMR, and MS-SMR are found to be $89.6/MWh, $81.5/MWh, and $80.6/MWh respectively. A Monte Carlo analysis is performed, for which the OCC and construction time of the LW-SMR is found to have a lower mean and standard deviation than a conventional large reactor. The LW-SMR OCC is found to have a mean of $5,233/kW with a standard deviation of $658/kW and a 90 % probability of remaining between $4,254/kW and $6,399/kW, while the construction duration is found to have a mean of 4.5 years with a standard deviation of 0.8 years and a 90 % probability of remaining between 3.4 and 6.0 years. The economic impact of economies of scale, simplification, modularization, and construction time for SMRs are discussed. Additionally, policy implications for direct SMR capital subsidies and the impact of a carbon tax on natural gas emissions are explored.
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