Technology Dominance in Complex Decision Making: The Case of Aided Credibility Assessment

可靠性 决策辅助工具 欺骗 任务(项目管理) 优势(遗传学) 计算机科学 心理学 决策支持系统 决策分析 知识管理 应用心理学 社会心理学 人工智能 医学 工程类 生物化学 化学 替代医学 病理 政治学 法学 基因 统计 数学 系统工程
作者
Matthew L. Jensen,Paul Benjamin Lowry,Jude K. Burgoon,Jay F. Nunamaker
出处
期刊:Journal of Management Information Systems [Taylor & Francis]
卷期号:27 (1): 175-202 被引量:76
标识
DOI:10.2753/mis0742-1222270108
摘要

Abstract Decision aids have long been an important source of help in making structured decisions. However, decision support for more complex problems has been much more difficult to create. Decision aids are now being developed for very complex problems, and their effects among low- and high-task-knowledge individuals are still being explored. One such task is credibility assessment, in which message recipients or observers must determine a message's veracity and trustworthiness. Credibility assessment is made difficult by lack of constraints, hidden or incomplete information, and mistaken beliefs of the assessor. The theory of technology dominance (TTD) proposes that technology is most effectively applied in intelligent decision aids when an experienced user is paired with a sophisticated decision aid. This work examines TT D in the complex task of credibility assessment. To assist in credibility assessment, we created a decision aid that augments the capabilities of the user—whether novice or professional. Using hypotheses based on TT D, we tested the decision aid using high-stakes deception in recorded interviews and involved both student (novice) and law enforcement (professional) users. Both professionals and novices improved their assessment accuracy by using the decision aid. Consistent with TTD, novices were more reliant on the decision aid than were professionals. However, contrary to TTD, there was no significant difference in the way novices and professionals interacted with the system, and the decision aid was not more beneficial to professionals. Novices and professionals frequently discounted the aid's recommendations, and in many cases professionals did not view explanations when the decision aid contradicted their assessments. Potential reasons for these findings, as well as limitations and future research opportunities, are discussed. Keywords: credibilitycredibility assessmentdeceptiondeception detectiondecision aidsdecision makingtheory of technology dominance (TTD)

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