Individual Risk Factors of PM2.5 Associated With Wintertime Mortality in Urban Patients With COPD

Background

Air pollution contributes to premature mortality, but potential impacts differ in populations with existing disease, particularly for individuals with multiple risk factors. Although COPD increases vulnerability to air pollution, individuals with COPD and other individual risk factors are at the intersection of multiple risks and may be especially susceptible to the effect of acute outdoor air pollution.

Research Question

What is the association between wintertime air pollution and mortality in patients with COPD and the modifying role of individual risk factors?

Study Design and Methods

This study evaluated 19,243 deceased veterans with prior COPD diagnosis who had resided in 25 US metropolitan regions (2016-2019). Electronic health records included patient demographic characteristics; smoking status; and comorbidities such as asthma, coronary artery disease (CAD), obesity, and diabetes. Using geocoded addresses, individuals were assigned wintertime fine particulate matter (particulate matter smaller than 2.5 μg in diameter [PM_2.5]) and nitrogen dioxide air pollution exposures. Associations between acute air pollution and mortality were estimated by using a time-stratified case-crossover design with a conditional logistic model, and individual risk differences were assessed according to stratified analysis.

Results

A 1.05 (95% CI, 1.02-1.09) mortality risk was estimated for each 10 μg/m³ increase in daily wintertime PM_2.5). Older patients and Black individuals displayed elevated risk. Obesity was a substantial air pollution-related mortality risk factor (OR, 1.11; 95% CI, 1.01-1.23), and the estimated risk for individuals with obesity plus CAD or obesity plus diabetes was 16% higher.

Interpretation

Wintertime PM_2.5 exposure was associated with elevated mortality risk in people with COPD, but individuals with multiple comorbidities, notably obesity, had high vulnerability. Our study suggests that obesity, CAD, and diabetes are understudied modifiers of air pollution-related risks for people with existing COPD.