Air pollution, greenness and risk of overweight among middle-aged and older adults: A cohort study in China

Exposure to air pollution may increase the risk of obesity, but living in greener space may reduce this risk. Epidemiological evidence, however, is inconsistent. Using data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (2011–2015), we conducted a nationwide cohort study of 7424 adults. We measured overweight/obesity according to body mass index. We used annual average ground-level air pollutants, including ozone (O3), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), and particulate matter with aerodynamic diameters ≤2.5 μm (PM2.5), to demonstrate air pollution levels. We used the Normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) to measure greenness exposure. We used time-varying Cox proportional hazard regression models to analyze the connections among air pollution, greenness, and the development of overweight/obesity in middle-aged and older adults in China. We also conducted mediation analyses to examine the mediating effects of air pollution. We found that lower risk of overweight/obesity was associated with more greenness exposure and lower levels of air pollution. We identified that an interquartile increment in NDVI was correlated with a lower hazard ratio (HR) of becoming overweight or obese (HR = 0.806, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.754–0.862). Although a 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2.5 and NO2 was correlated with higher risks (HR = 1.049, 95% CI = 1.022–1.075, HR = 1.376, 95% CI = 1.264–1.499). Effects of PM2.5 on being overweight or obese were stronger in men than in women. According to the mediation analysis, PM2.5 and NO2 mediated 8.85% and 19.22% of the association between greenness and being overweight or obese. An increased risk of being overweight or obese in middle-aged and older adults in China was associated with long-term exposure to higher levels of PM2.5 and NO2. This risk was reduced through NDVI exposure, and the associations were partially mediated by air pollutants. To verify these findings, fine-scale studies are needed.