A new complex system fault detection method based on belief rule base for unreliable interval values

Abstract Failures to equipment such as milling machines and inertial navigation systems (INSs) can affect their normal operation, resulting in economic losses and personal injury in severe cases. Therefore, fault detection is of great importance. Belief rule base (BRB) is an expert system that plays an important role in fault detection. The traditional BRB has some problems in the explosion of the number of combination rules, the process of model inference, and the process of parameter optimization. To better deal with the above problems, this paper proposes a complex system fault detection method based on an interval-valued BRB fault detection interval-valued (FDIV) and provides the construction and inference process of the method. In the method construction, the form of interval value and disjunction rules are introduced to solve the problem of the number explosion of combination rules, the indicator reliability is added to improve the accuracy of the method, and a new calculation method of rule availability is proposed. In the inference process, twice fusions are made based on evidence reasoning (ER) analysis algorithm and ER rule algorithm respectively to deal with the interval uncertainties. Moreover, the proposed FDIV method is optimized by the projection covariance matrix adaptive evolutionary strategy algorithm projection covariance matrix adaptive evolutionary strategy (P-CMA-ES). Finally, the effectiveness of the proposed method was verified through the research on milling fault detection and the experimental verification of INS fault detection. The superiority of the model was also confirmed through comparative experiments.