Predictive Indicators for Complications of Proximal Humerus Fractures Treated with Locking Plate or Intramedullary Nail Fixation

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the best placement of calcar screws in proximal humerus fracture surgeries.This retrospective cohort study included clinical and radiographic outcomes of 98 patients treated with proximal humerus fracture surgeries between January 2017 and June 2020. Demographic data of patients were obtained from medical records. The surgical and radiographic results were also collected: operation time, blood loss, time to surgery, fibular allograft, disruption of medial region hinge, Neer classification, and recovery of medial support. Patients were allocated into two groups: the locking plate group (n = 65) and the intramedullary nail group (n = 33). In this study, we proposed new predictive indicators, named horizontal ratio (HR) and vertical ratio (VR), to quantify the placement of calcar screws in these two groups. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was conducted to display the accuracy of these indicators. Shoulder activity, visual scale analog (VAS) score, and Constant score were performed to evaluate postoperative clinical outcomes at 1 year follow-up.In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, only time to surgery and effective medial support were considered statistically significant factors of postoperative complications (p < 0.05). Significant differences were observed between medial support and postoperative complications both in the locking plate group and the intramedullary nail group (p < 0.05). Only the vertical ratio of locking plate (VRLP) was a statistically significant predictor of postoperative complications (p < 0.05). The area under curve was calculated to assess the predictive value of VRLP, which came to 0.84. In addition, a ROC analysis found quantifiable thresholds of the VR was 0.1713 as measures to avoid postoperative complications in the locking plate fixation.In locking plate fixation, the incidence of postoperative complications increased significantly when the VR of calcar screws greater than 0.1713, which was beneficial to surgeons to place calcar screws.