Early immune tolerance induction is a unique predictor of favorable outcomes in hemophilia A children with intron 22 inversion and high-responding inhibitors

The predictors of immune tolerance induction (ITI) outcomes in hemophilia A (HA) patients with the same F8 genetic background have not yet been evaluated, although the F8 genotype is strongly associated with ITI response. This study aims to explore the predictors of ITI outcomes in the same F8 genetic background by focusing on intron 22 inversion (Inv22) patients with high-responding inhibitors.HA children with Inv22 and high-responding inhibitors who received low-dose ITI therapy over 24 months were included in this study. ITI outcomes were centrally assessed at the 24th month of treatment. The predictive ability of clinical variables to identify ITI success was determined using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and the predictor of ITI outcomes was analyzed on the multivariable Cox model.Among the 32 patients investigated, 23 (71.9 %) achieved success. In univariate analysis, interval time from inhibitor diagnosis to ITI start (interval-time) was significantly associated with ITI success (P = 0.001); however, inhibitor titers showed no significance (P > 0.05). The interval-time demonstrated a good predictive value for ITI success with the area under the ROC curve of 0.855 (P = 0.002), and the cutoff value was 25.8 months (sensitivity, 87.0 %; specificity, 88.9 %). In the multivariable Cox model which considered success rate and time to success, interval-time was the only independent predictor (<25.8 months vs. ≥25.8 months, P = 0.002).The interval-time was first identified as a unique predictor of ITI outcomes in HA patients with high-responding inhibitors under the same F8 genetic background (Inv22). An interval-time of <25.8 months was associated with increased ITI success and reduced time to success.