Global, regional, and national burden of inguinal, femoral, and abdominal hernias: a systematic analysis of prevalence, incidence, deaths, and DALYs with projections to 2030

医学 入射(几何) 人口学 外科 普通外科 光学 社会学 物理
作者
Fan Wang,Bangzhen Ma,Qiuyue Ma,Xiaoli Liu
出处
期刊:International Journal of Surgery [Wolters Kluwer]
卷期号:110 (4): 1951-1967 被引量:21
标识
DOI:10.1097/js9.0000000000001071
摘要

Background: Hernias, particularly inguinal, femoral, and abdominal, present a global health challenge. While the global burden of disease (GBD) study offers insights, systematic analyses of hernias remain limited. This research utilizes the GBD dataset to explore hernia implications, combining current statistics with 2030 projections and frontier analysis. Methods: We analyzed data from the 2019 GBD Study, focusing on hernia-related metrics: prevalence, incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) across 204 countries and territories, grouped into 21 GBD regions by the socio-demographic index (SDI). Data analysis encompassed relative change calculations, as well as annual percentage change (APC) and average annual percentage change (AAPC), both of which are based on joinpoint regression analysis. The study additionally employed frontier analysis and utilized the Bayesian age-period-cohort model for predicting trends up to 2030. Analyses utilized R version 4.2.3. Results: From 1990 to 2019, the global prevalence of hernia cases surged by 36%, reaching over 32.5 million, even as age-standardized rates declined. A similar pattern was seen in mortality and DALYs, with absolute figures rising but age-standardized rates decreasing. Gender data between 1990 and 2019 showed consistent male dominance in hernia prevalence, even as rates for both genders fell. Regionally, Andean Latin America had the highest prevalence, with Central Sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia noting significant increases and decreases, respectively. Frontier analyses across 204 countries and territories linked higher SDIs with reduced hernia prevalence. Yet, some high SDI countries, like Japan and Lithuania, deviated unexpectedly. Predictions up to 2030 anticipate increasing hernia prevalence, predominantly in males, while age-standardized death rates and age-standardized DALY rates are expected to decline. Conclusions: Our analysis reveals a complex interplay between socio-demographic factors and hernia trends, emphasizing the need for targeted healthcare interventions. Despite advancements, vigilance and continuous research are essential for optimal hernia management globally.
最长约 10秒,即可获得该文献文件

科研通智能强力驱动
Strongly Powered by AbleSci AI
更新
PDF的下载单位、IP信息已删除 (2025-6-4)

科研通是完全免费的文献互助平台,具备全网最快的应助速度,最高的求助完成率。 对每一个文献求助,科研通都将尽心尽力,给求助人一个满意的交代。
实时播报
隐形曼青应助okface采纳,获得10
刚刚
zhang完成签到,获得积分10
1秒前
hopen完成签到 ,获得积分10
2秒前
丘比特应助SS采纳,获得10
4秒前
月亮moon完成签到,获得积分10
4秒前
5秒前
充电宝应助qqq采纳,获得10
8秒前
顾矜应助lihan采纳,获得10
8秒前
爆米花应助周em12_采纳,获得10
9秒前
10秒前
三物完成签到 ,获得积分10
11秒前
jolt发布了新的文献求助10
12秒前
14秒前
14秒前
15秒前
momo发布了新的文献求助10
16秒前
量子星尘发布了新的文献求助30
16秒前
17秒前
18秒前
18秒前
善学以致用应助笃定采纳,获得30
19秒前
SS发布了新的文献求助10
21秒前
21秒前
ZZZ发布了新的文献求助10
21秒前
Justtry发布了新的文献求助20
23秒前
23秒前
顾矜应助momo采纳,获得10
24秒前
24秒前
hnlgdx发布了新的文献求助20
24秒前
26秒前
重要冷之完成签到,获得积分20
26秒前
26秒前
29秒前
VV完成签到,获得积分10
29秒前
ccalvintan发布了新的文献求助10
30秒前
蛋挞发布了新的文献求助10
31秒前
小马甲应助SS采纳,获得10
34秒前
XX完成签到,获得积分10
37秒前
38秒前
39秒前
高分求助中
A new approach to the extrapolation of accelerated life test data 1000
ACSM’s Guidelines for Exercise Testing and Prescription, 12th edition 500
‘Unruly’ Children: Historical Fieldnotes and Learning Morality in a Taiwan Village (New Departures in Anthropology) 400
Indomethacinのヒトにおける経皮吸収 400
Phylogenetic study of the order Polydesmida (Myriapoda: Diplopoda) 370
基于可调谐半导体激光吸收光谱技术泄漏气体检测系统的研究 350
Robot-supported joining of reinforcement textiles with one-sided sewing heads 320
热门求助领域 (近24小时)
化学 材料科学 医学 生物 工程类 有机化学 生物化学 物理 内科学 纳米技术 计算机科学 化学工程 复合材料 遗传学 基因 物理化学 催化作用 冶金 细胞生物学 免疫学
热门帖子
关注 科研通微信公众号,转发送积分 3989297
求助须知:如何正确求助?哪些是违规求助? 3531418
关于积分的说明 11253893
捐赠科研通 3270097
什么是DOI,文献DOI怎么找? 1804884
邀请新用户注册赠送积分活动 882087
科研通“疑难数据库(出版商)”最低求助积分说明 809158