Emergence of urban growth patterns from human mobility behavior

Cities grow in a bottom-up manner, leading to fractal-like urban morphologies characterized by scaling laws. The correlated percolation model has succeeded in modeling urban geometries by imposing strong spatial correlations; however, the origin of the underlying mechanisms behind spatially correlated urban growth remains largely unknown. Our understanding of human movements has recently been revolutionized thanks to the increasing availability of large-scale human mobility data. This paper introduces a computational urban growth model that captures spatially correlated urban growth with a micro-foundation in human mobility behavior. We compare the proposed model with three empirical datasets, discovering that strong social interactions and long-term memory effects in human movements are two fundamental principles responsible for fractal-like urban morphology, along with the three important laws of urban growth. Our model connects the empirical findings in urban growth patterns and human mobility behavior. The study shows that a memory-aware and socially coupled human movement model can reproduce urban growth patterns at the macro level, providing a bottom-up approach to understand urban growth and to reveal its connection to human mobility behavior.