Validation of perihematomal edema expansion as a new imaging biomarker to predict clinical outcome in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage

The use of hematoma expansion (HE) in intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) patients is limited due to its low sensitivity. Perihematomal edema (PHE) has been considered an important marker of secondary brain injury after ICH. Enrolling PHE expansion to redefine traditional ICH expansion merits exploration.This study analyzed a cohort of patients with spontaneous ICH. The hematoma and PHE were manually segmented. Logistic regression analysis was utilized to identify risk factors for poor outcomes. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was performed to calculate the predictive values of PHE expansion and HE. Poor neurological outcome was defined as a modified Rankin Scale score of 4-6 at 90 days.Overall, 223 target patients were enrolled in the study. Multivariable analysis showed the larger PHE expansion is the independent risk factors for poor prognosis. The predictive value of absolute PHE expansion (AUC=0.776, sensitivity=67.9%, specificity=77.0%) was higher than that of absolute HE (AUC=0.573, sensitivity=41.7%, specificity=87.1%) and HE (>6 ml) (AUC=0.594, sensitivity=23.8%, specificity=95.0%). The best cutoff for early absolute/relative PHE expansion resulting in a poor outcome was 5.96 ml and 31%.Early PHE expansion was associated with a poor outcome, characterized by a better predictive value than HE.