Tumor vascularity on contrast-enhanced computed tomography as a predictive marker of metastatic potential for small nonfunctioning pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors

Although surgical resection is generally suggested for nonfunctioning pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors, observation can be proposed for carefully selected patients with small tumors. However, the indications for observation remain unclear.This retrospective study included 77 patients with nonfunctioning pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors, including small tumors (≤2.0 cm, n = 41), who received pancreatectomy. The ratio of the mean computed tomography value of a tumor in the late arterial/equilibrium phase (computed tomography a/e ratio) was used to evaluate tumor vascularity. Pathologic examinations of small tumors were conducted. The associations among the computed tomography a/e ratio, pathologic findings, and survival outcomes were investigated.Small tumors were pathologically categorized by the degree of fibrosis as follows: medullary (n = 20), intermediate (n = 11), and fibrotic (n = 10). The fibrotic type had significantly lower computed tomography a/e ratios than the medullary type (median, 1.42 vs 2.03, P < .001). The median number of vessels with microscopic venous invasion was significantly higher in the fibrotic type than in the medullary type (4.5 vs 0.0, P < .001). The cutoff value of the computed tomography a/e ratio for predicting microscopic venous invasion was determined to be 1.54 by the receiver operating characteristic curve (area under the curve, 0.832; sensitivity, 80.0%; specificity, 83.9%; accuracy, 82.9%). Microscopic venous invasion was an independent prognostic factor for relapse-free survival in overall patients (hazard ratio 5.18, P = .017).The computed tomography a/e ratio may be a useful predictor of the metastatic potential of nonfunctioning pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors and may help decide the indications of observation for small nonfunctioning pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors.