Short-term effects of meteorological factors on hand, foot and mouth disease among children in Shenzhen, China: Non-linearity, threshold and interaction

相对湿度 风速 混淆 泊松回归 表观温度 相互作用 分布滞后 广义加性模型 相对风险 环境科学 滞后 医学 大气科学 人口学 统计 置信区间 气象学 数学 地理 环境卫生 人口 社会学 地质学 计算机科学 计算机网络
作者
Zhen Zhang,Xu Xie,Xiliang Chen,Yuan Li,Yan Lu,Shujiang Mei,Yuxue Liao,Hualiang Lin
出处
期刊:Science of The Total Environment [Elsevier BV]
卷期号:539: 576-582 被引量:66
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2015.09.027
摘要

Various meteorological factors have been associated with hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) among children; however, fewer studies have examined the non-linearity and interaction among the meteorological factors.A generalized additive model with a log link allowing Poisson auto-regression and over-dispersion was applied to investigate the short-term effects daily meteorological factors on children HFMD with adjustment of potential confounding factors.We found positive effects of mean temperature and wind speed, the excess relative risk (ERR) was 2.75% (95% CI: 1.98%, 3.53%) for one degree increase in daily mean temperature on lag day 6, and 3.93% (95% CI: 2.16% to 5.73%) for 1m/s increase in wind speed on lag day 3. We found a non-linear effect of relative humidity with thresholds with the low threshold at 45% and high threshold at 85%, within which there was positive effect, the ERR was 1.06% (95% CI: 0.85% to 1.27%) for 1 percent increase in relative humidity on lag day 5. No significant effect was observed for rainfall and sunshine duration. For the interactive effects, we found a weak additive interaction between mean temperature and relative humidity, and slightly antagonistic interaction between mean temperature and wind speed, and between relative humidity and wind speed in the additive models, but the interactions were not statistically significant.This study suggests that mean temperature, relative humidity and wind speed might be risk factors of children HFMD in Shenzhen, and the interaction analysis indicates that these meteorological factors might have played their roles individually.
最长约 10秒,即可获得该文献文件

科研通智能强力驱动
Strongly Powered by AbleSci AI
更新
PDF的下载单位、IP信息已删除 (2025-6-4)

科研通是完全免费的文献互助平台,具备全网最快的应助速度,最高的求助完成率。 对每一个文献求助,科研通都将尽心尽力,给求助人一个满意的交代。
实时播报
文艺的幻露完成签到,获得积分10
刚刚
3秒前
林钟完成签到,获得积分10
5秒前
在水一方应助会飞的鱼采纳,获得10
5秒前
zzqblue发布了新的文献求助10
8秒前
9秒前
zjy完成签到,获得积分10
10秒前
科研通AI5应助xn201120采纳,获得10
10秒前
量子星尘发布了新的文献求助10
11秒前
12秒前
zommen驳回了dodo应助
12秒前
快乐的青柏完成签到,获得积分10
13秒前
peiter发布了新的文献求助10
13秒前
lzb完成签到,获得积分10
15秒前
落寞依玉完成签到,获得积分20
16秒前
研友_VZG7GZ应助深海敢敢采纳,获得10
17秒前
烟花应助zzqblue采纳,获得10
17秒前
科研通AI5应助QQ采纳,获得10
18秒前
会飞的鱼发布了新的文献求助10
18秒前
19秒前
23秒前
睿123456完成签到,获得积分10
24秒前
28秒前
诚心仙人掌完成签到,获得积分10
29秒前
顺利秋灵完成签到,获得积分10
29秒前
7t完成签到 ,获得积分10
32秒前
32秒前
32秒前
田様应助渡川采纳,获得10
34秒前
会飞的鱼完成签到,获得积分10
34秒前
善学以致用应助二丙采纳,获得10
35秒前
36秒前
松鼠桂鱼发布了新的文献求助10
36秒前
37秒前
38秒前
ChatGPT发布了新的文献求助10
39秒前
dramarama720发布了新的文献求助10
40秒前
40秒前
42秒前
学术蟑螂完成签到,获得积分10
43秒前
高分求助中
A new approach to the extrapolation of accelerated life test data 1000
Picture Books with Same-sex Parented Families: Unintentional Censorship 700
ACSM’s Guidelines for Exercise Testing and Prescription, 12th edition 500
Nucleophilic substitution in azasydnone-modified dinitroanisoles 500
不知道标题是什么 500
Indomethacinのヒトにおける経皮吸収 400
Phylogenetic study of the order Polydesmida (Myriapoda: Diplopoda) 370
热门求助领域 (近24小时)
化学 材料科学 医学 生物 工程类 有机化学 生物化学 物理 内科学 纳米技术 计算机科学 化学工程 复合材料 遗传学 基因 物理化学 催化作用 冶金 细胞生物学 免疫学
热门帖子
关注 科研通微信公众号,转发送积分 3976267
求助须知:如何正确求助?哪些是违规求助? 3520472
关于积分的说明 11203425
捐赠科研通 3257089
什么是DOI,文献DOI怎么找? 1798589
邀请新用户注册赠送积分活动 877785
科研通“疑难数据库(出版商)”最低求助积分说明 806523