Necrosis and Brain Invasion Predict Radio-Resistance and Tumor Recurrence in Atypical Meningioma: A Retrospective Cohort Study

Abstract BACKGROUND Meningiomas are the most common tumors occurring in the central nervous system, with variable recurrence rates depending on World Health Organization grading. Atypical (Grade II) meningioma has a higher rate of recurrence than benign (Grade I) meningioma. The efficacy of adjuvant radiotherapy (RT) to improve tumor control has been questioned. OBJECTIVE To investigate clinical and histopathological predictors of tumor recurrence and radio-resistance in atypical meningiomas. METHODS This cohort study retrospectively reviewed all patients in St. Michael's Hospital CNS tumor patient database who underwent surgical resection of a Grade II meningioma from 1995 to 2015. Cases with neurofibromatosis type II, multiple satellite tumors, spinal cord meningioma, radiation-induced meningioma, and perioperative death were excluded. Patient demographics, neuropathological diagnosis, tumor location, extent of resection, radiation therapy, and time to recurrence or progression were recorded. Cox univariate regression and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis were employed to identify risk factors for recurrence and radio-resistance. RESULTS Among 181 patients, the combination of necrosis and brain invasion was associated with an increased recurrence risk (hazard ratio [HR] = 4.560, P = .001) and the lowest progression-free survival (PFS) relative to other pathological predictors. This trend was maintained after gross total resection (GTR, P = .001). RT was associated with decreased PFS ( P = .001), even in patients who received GTR ( P = .001). CONCLUSION The combination of necrosis and brain invasion is a strong predictor of tumor recurrence and radio-resistance in meningioma, regardless of EOR or adjuvant RT. Our findings question the sensibility of brain invasion as an absolute criterion for Grade II status.