Association between long-term exposure to air pollution and mortality in France: A 25-year follow-up study

危险系数 四分位间距 比例危险模型 医学 队列 人口学 空气污染 队列研究 环境卫生 置信区间 化学 内科学 有机化学 社会学
作者
Malek Bentayeb,Vérène Wagner,Morgane Stempfelet,Marie Zins,Marcel Goldberg,Mathilde Pascal,Sophie Larrieu,Pascal Beaudeau,Sylvie Cassadou,Daniel Eilstein,Laurent Filleul,Alain Le Tertre,Sylvia Médina,Laurence Pascal,Hélène Prouvost,Philippe Quénel,Abdelkrim Zeghnoun,Agnès Lefranc
出处
期刊:Environment International [Elsevier]
卷期号:85: 5-14 被引量:99
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.envint.2015.08.006
摘要

Long-term exposure to air pollution (AP) has been shown to have an impact on mortality in numerous countries, but since 2005 no data exists for France.We analyzed the association between long-term exposure to air pollution and mortality at the individual level in a large French cohort followed from 1989 to 2013.The study sample consisted of 20,327 adults working at the French national electricity and gas company EDF-GDF. Annual exposure to PM10, PM10–2.5, PM2.5, NO2, O3, SO2, and benzene was assessed for the place of residence of participants using a chemistry-transport model and taking residential history into account. Hazard ratios were estimated using a Cox proportional-hazards regression model, adjusted for selected individual and contextual risk factors. Hazard ratios were computed for an interquartile range (IQR) increase in air pollutant concentrations.The cohort recorded 1967 non-accidental deaths. Long-term exposures to b aseline PM2.5, PM10-25, NO2 and benzene were associated with an increase in non-accidental mortality (Hazard Ratio, HR = 1.09; 95% CI: 0.99, 1.20 per 5.9 μg/m3, PM10-25; HR=1.09; 95% CI: 1.04, 1.15 per 2.2 μg/m3, NO2: HR=1.14; 95% CI: 0.99, 1.31 per 19.3 μg/m3 and benzene: HR=1.10; 95% CI: 1.00, 1.22 per 1.7 μg/m3).The strongest association was found for PM10: HR = 1.14; 95% CI: 1.05, 1.25 per 7.8 μg/m3. PM10, PM10-25 and SO2 were associated with non-accidental mortality when using time varying exposure. No significant associations were observed between air pollution and cardiovascular and respiratory mortality.Long-term exposure to fine particles, nitrogen dioxide, sulfur dioxide and benzene is associated with an increased risk of non-accidental mortality in France. Our results strengthen existing evidence that outdoor air pollution is a significant environmental risk factor for mortality. Due to the limited sample size and the nature of our study (occupational), further investigations are needed in France with a larger representative population sample.

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