Impact of preexisting autoimmune disease on myelodysplastic syndromes outcomes: a population analysis

Abstract Preexisting autoimmune disease affects between 10% and 30% of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). Studies comparing outcomes in patients with MDS with and without autoimmune disease show discordant results. Using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Medicare database, we conducted a population analysis to define the impact of autoimmunity on MDS outcomes. Cases were ascertained between 2007 and 2017 and claim algorithms used to identify autoimmune disease, demographic characteristics, comorbidity scores, MDS histology, transfusion burden, treatment with hypomethylating agents, and hematopoietic stem cell transplantation. Cox regression models estimated the impact on survival, and competing-risk regression models defined the effect on leukemic transformation. We analyzed 15 277 patients with MDS, including 2442 (16%) with preexisting autoimmune disease. The epidemiologic profile was distinctive in cases with preexisting autoimmunity, who were younger, were predominantly female, and had higher transfusion burden without difference in MDS histologic distribution. Autoimmune disease was associated with 11% decreased risk of death (hazard ratio [HR], 0.89; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.85-0.94; P < .001). The effect on risk of leukemic transformation differed based on MDS histology. In low-risk MDS histologies, autoimmunity was associated with a 1.9-fold increased risk of leukemia (HR, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.17-2.99; P = .008), whereas no significant effect was seen in other groups. These results suggest that autoimmune disease affects survival in MDS and is associated with decreased mortality. The survival effect was evident in low-risk histologies despite higher risk of progression to leukemia. This could represent inflammation-driven hematopoiesis, simultaneously favoring less aggressive phenotypes and clonal expansion, which warrants further investigation.