Cost–effectiveness analysis of pembrolizumab for patients with advanced esophageal cancer at PD-L1 combined positive score ≥10

Aim: Due to the high price of pembrolizumab, it is still unknown whether the use of pembrolizumab for advanced esophageal cancer would be a cost-effective option for patients whose PD-L1 combined positive score is ≥10. Methods: A Markov simulation model was performed based on clinical trial KEYNOTE-181. Incremental cost–effectiveness ratios were calculated to compare the two treatments. Results: The total costs were US$193,575.60 and $8789.24 for pembrolizumab and chemotherapy treatment, respectively. The pembrolizumab group produced 0.93 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), while the chemotherapy group produced 0.58 QALYs. Thus, patients in the pembrolizumab group spent an additional US$184,786.36 and produced 0.35 QALYs more than the chemotherapy group, which resulted in an incremental cost–effectiveness ratio of US$527,961.03 per QALY. Conclusion: For patients with advanced esophageal cancer whose PD-L1 combined positive score is ≥10, pembrolizumab is not a cost-effective second-line therapy versus chemotherapy from the US payer perspective.