Understanding the Spatial Variability of the Relationship between InSAR-Derived Deformation and Groundwater Level Using Machine Learning

The interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) technique was used in this study to derive the temporal and spatial information of ground deformation and explore its temporal correlation with groundwater dynamics. The random forest (RF) machine learning method was used to model the spatial variability of the temporal correlation and understand its influential contributors. The results showed that groundwater dynamics appeared to be an important factor in InSAR deformation at some bores where strong and positive correlations were observed. The RF model could explain up to 72% of spatial variances between InSAR deformation and groundwater dynamics. The spatial and temporal InSAR coherence (a proxy for the noise in InSAR results that is strongly related to vegetation) and soil moisture (difference, trend, and amplitude) were the most important factors explaining the spatial pattern of the temporal correlation between InSAR displacements and groundwater levels. This result confirms that noise sources (including deformation model fitting errors and radar signal decorrelation) and perturbation of the InSAR signal related to vegetation and surficial soils (clay content, moisture changes) should be accounted for when interpreting InSAR to support groundwater-related risk assessments and in groundwater resource management activities.