Long-Term Prognostic Value of Coronary Computed Tomography Angiography

Coronary CT angiography (CTA) is a highly accurate test for the diagnosis of coronary artery disease (CAD), with its use guided by numerous contemporary appropriate use criteria and clinical guidelines. Unique among non-invasive tests for CAD, coronary CTA provides direct visualization of coronary atherosclerosis for the assessment of angiographic stenosis, as well as validated measures of plaque vulnerability. Long-term studies now clearly demonstrate that the absence of CAD on coronary CTA identifies a patient that is at very low risk for future cardiovascular events. Conversely, the presence, location, and severity of CAD as measured on coronary CTA provide powerful prognostic information that is superior to traditional risk factors and other clinical variables. Observational studies and data obtained from clinical trials suggest that the anatomic information derived from coronary CTA significantly increases the utilization of statins and aspirin. Furthermore, these changes are associated with reductions in the risk for mortality, revascularizations, and incident myocardial infarctions among subjects with coronary atherosclerosis. As a result, current societal consensus statements have attempted to standardize coronary CTA reporting, to include incorporation of vulnerable plaque features and recommendations on the use of preventive therapies, such as statins, so to more consistently link important prognostic findings on coronary CTA to appropriate preventive and therapeutic interventions. Automated measures of total coronary plaque volume, machine learning, and CT-derived fractional flow reserve may further refine the prognostic accuracy of coronary CTA. Herein, we summarize recently published literature that reports the long-term (≥ 5 years of follow-up) prognostic usefulness of coronary CTA.