Increasing global urban exposure to flooding: An analysis of long-term annual dynamics

洪水(心理学) 漫滩 中国 地理 中国上海 大洪水 自然地理学 地图学 区域科学 考古 心理学 心理治疗师
作者
Wenting Cao,Yuyu Zhou,Burak Güneralp,Xuecao Li,Kaiguang Zhao,Huaguo Zhang
出处
期刊:Science of The Total Environment [Elsevier BV]
卷期号:817: 153012-153012 被引量:49
标识
DOI:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.153012
摘要

An improved understanding of global Urban Exposure to Flooding (UEF) is essential for developing risk-reduction strategies for sustainable urban development. This study is the first to assess the long-term historical global UEF at a fine spatial resolution (i.e., 30 m) and annual temporal frequency, with consideration of smaller urban areas in the exposure assessment compared to those using coarse resolution data. We assessed the UEF by investigating the spatially explicit urban expansion in the 100-year floodplain extents. The global UEF increased more than four-fold from 16,443 km2 in 1985 to 92,233 km2 in 2018 with accelerated temporal trends. The most notable growth in UEF occurred in Asia (74.1%), followed by Europe (11.6%), Northern America (8.7%), Africa (2.9%), Southern America (2.2%), and Australia (0.5%). Notably, China and US were the two countries with the largest UEF, accounting for about 61.5% of global growth in UEF. In addition, only 1.2% of global floodplains were occupied by urban expansion by 2018, whereas this percentage reached 20% in the basins of Western Europe, Eastern Asia, and Northeastern US. Moreover, although the floodplains only accounted for 5.5% of the global land areas, 12.6% of the urban expansion occurred in the floodplains from 1985 to 2018, with the most rapid increases in the basins in Southeastern and Eastern China. Our findings highlight that the trends of accelerated increasing urban exposure to flooding have been occurring for at least the past three decades.
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