Quantitative imaging predicts pancreatic fatty infiltration on routine CT examination

The purpose of this study was to assess the performance of quantitative computed tomography (CT) imaging for detecting pancreatic fatty infiltration, using the results of histopathological analysis as reference. Sixty patients who underwent pancreatic surgery for a pancreatic tumor between 2016 and 2019 were retrospectively included. There were 33 women and 27 men with a mean age of 56 ± 12 (SD) years (age range: 18–79 years). Patients with dilatation of the main pancreatic duct, chronic pancreatitis, or preoperative treatment were excluded to prevent any bias in the radiological-pathological correlation. Pancreatic fatty infiltration was recorded at pathology. Pancreatic surface lobularity, pancreatic attenuation, visceral fat area, and subcutaneous fat area were derived from preoperative CT images. The performance for the prediction of fatty infiltration was assessed using area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and backward binary logistic regression analysis. Results were validated in a separate cohort of 34 patients (17 women; mean age, 50 ± 14 [SD] years; age range: 18–73). A total of 28/60 (47%) and 17/34 (50%) patients had pancreatic fatty infiltration in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. In the derivation cohort, patients with pancreatic fatty infiltration had a significantly higher PSL (P < 0.001) and a lower pancreatic attenuation on both precontrast and portal venous phase images (P = 0.011 and 0.003, respectively), and higher subcutaneous fat area and visceral fat area (P = 0.010 and 0.007, respectively). Multivariable analysis identified pancreatic surface lobularity > 7.6 and pancreatic attenuation on portal venous phase images < 83.5 Hounsfield units as independently associated with fatty infiltration. The combination of these variables resulted in an AUC of 0.85 (95% CI: 0.74–0.95) and 0.83 (95% CI: 0.67–0.99) in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. CT-based quantitative imaging accurately predicts pancreatic fatty infiltration.